Sunday, November 20, 2005

NFL Week 11

Alright, we've finally hit the 16 game schedule! But only two extra games and it seems like these damn picks are taking forever...I was 10-4 last week, and I am 87-57 on the season.

Arizona at ST. LOUIS: Mexico City looks like they're getting Anquan Boldin back, and with Kurt Warner back at QB, the Mexico City passing attack may be able to do some damage. But the Rams have an even better passing offence, plus some kind of running game. The Eagles are no longer last in rushing...the Cardinals and their 38 rushing yards last week have taken over that title. The Rams are 30th in total defence, and Mexico City hasn't won on the road yet. Les Mouflons by 6.

CAROLINA at Chicago: Oh cripes, do you take the team that's won 5 in a row or do you take the team that's won 6 in a row? Do you take the team that's 4-1 at home or the team that's 3-1 on the road? Looking at the stats, Carolina has the answer to Chicago's rushing attack, but Chicago's got the answer to the Panties' passing attack. The Panties have a much better total offence though. There's also more on the line for the Panties...the Bears will win the division easily and they know it. I'll take the Panties by 3.

Detroit at DALLAS: Imagine my surprise when that Dallas receiver with the 58 yard catch happened to be Peerless! Other than that, the Boys' offence didn't have a productive night at all in Philly. Detroit actually has a better defence than Philly, but I can't say no to the Boys at home. Cowboys by 10.

JACKSONVILLE at Tennessee: I think last week's shellacking of the Ravens answered any questions about the Jaguars offence. And little known fact...who now has the number one pass defence? The Jags do! Flaming Thumbtacks have lost 4 in a row, better make it 5. Jaguars by 7.

MIAMI at Cleveland: If Sage Rosenfels plays, it's not the end of the world...he did pretty well for himself in the pre-season, putting up a 103.8 rating with the second team offence, and all he'll have to do in this one is hand the ball off. The Marine Mammals had last week's game well within reach, but they did the ridiculous play-calling thing again...1st and goal at the Pats 5, 2:47 left in the game, 3 timeouts left, down by 7. Four straight passing plays, three incompletions and a completion to Ronnie for a loss, game over. Granted, ol' Gus Gus had thrown for 360 yards at that point, but Ronnie had been averaging 4.5 yards a carry...I think he could have gotten in with 4 tries at it. They will have to use Ronnie and Ricky a lot more to win this game. Marine Mammals by 7.

New Orleans at NEW ENGLAND: So we've all seen this before...the Aints at 2-7 (actually, it was 2-8 last year) and they clawed their way back up to .500. It could happen again, but it would be a bad idea...they should be playing for good draft picks now. The Patriots scoring defence is almost as bad as the Saints (New England allows 26.2 points a game), so take the Aints to beat the spread. Patriots by 7.

Oakland at WASHINGTON: I'm not too sure on this one...Mark Brunell has been struggling lately. However, Washington is still perfect at home, so that's what I'll go with. Washington also has the 9th ranked pass defence and should be able to outgain the Raiders on offence no problem. Redskins by 7.

Philadelphia at NY GIANTS: Easy pick for Roy Williams, touchdown, and the Eagles are on their first losing streak in a long time. Jersey/A took a bad one against the Vikings, but at least one of the Jersey/A guys got to hit Mike Tice (which was really funny, by the way.) Seems that when it looks like Jersey/A has everything working for them, something goes to shit (in this case, special teams coverage!) Their D played really well again, holding the Vikings offence to 3 points and 156 total yards. Plus, the Eagles are sans McNabb, so looks like this losing streak goes to 4 games. Jersey/A by 7.

Pittsburgh at BALTIMORE: Pepto Bismol Upset of the Week. Roethlisberger probably won't make it for this one, and Tommy Gunn can't beat Baltimore's D. The Nevermores keep beating themselves with their low voltage offence, so it'll be interesting anyway. Nevermores by 3.

Tampa Bay at ATLANTA: Turnovers cost the Falcons big time against the Packers, not to mention their pass defence wasn't up to the challenge. It's going to be hard to justify picking the Falcons after that, especially since they let a running back that nobody's ever heard of run all over them last week and now they've got to face Cadillac. On the plus side, Vick's passer rating is slowly improving, and he's situated below little Manning, but above Trent Dildo. As for Tampa, the "Dick Vermeil Iron Balls Award" for week 10 goes to Jon Gruden, for being down 35-28, with 58 seconds left, scoring a TD and going for two, resulting in a 36-35 win for the Succaqueers. I could hardly believe what I was seeing. Also, I'm taking into account Jimmy Jr.'s 5-1 record following a loss, and I can't see the Falcons losing back to back in the Dome. Falcons by 1 (the spread is 6! If you play point spread, take Tampa! Not me though, I make it a habit never to bet against the birds.)

SEATTLE at San Francisco: Lock of the Week. Dangerous business picking a road team as the lock, especially if that road team is Seattle, and given how the Squared Sevens seem to be playing 3 good quarters of football lately, but I'm still going to have to go with the number one offence against the number thirty-two defence. Seahawks by 28.

Buffalo at SAN DIEGO: Jeez, JP Losman takes over and lights it up, didn't see that one coming. Losman gets the start this week, obviously. This will be a tougher one for the Bills since San Diego's got quite the offence. This one will be all LaDainian, as usual, but Drew Brees could screw this up for them if he gets picked off 3 times like Trent Green. Superchargers by 14.

INDIANAPOLIS at Cincinnati: Game of the week! If the Colts are going to lose at all before they've got things wrapped up in the AFC and are resting their starters, it's going to be this one. I think that Cincy's D will be able to pick off a Peyton wobbler or two, I'm just not so sure Carson's up to the challenge against Indy's defence. Colts by 7.

NY Jets at DENVER: Pretty easy pick here, the Broncos are 7-2 and Jersey/B is 2-7. Denver's D still allows a ton of yards, but are pretty stingy with the points. The Broncos #2 rushing offence will run all over the Jets #29 rush defence. I agree with Indian...Jets will beat the spread, but barely. Broncos by 13.

KANSAS CITY at Houston: The Cow Skulls have a better pass defence than the Chiefs, but I still don't think that offence can produce enough to get the win. This one's up to Larry Johnson cutting up that #32 ranked run defence. Chiefs by 14.

Minnesota at GREEN BAY: Two teams who have been sucking slough water the whole season and they both got wins last week. So it makes it all the more difficult. I just can't pick the Vikings after their offence played so poorly, and they can't rely on their special teams and defence to always score the points. If Green Bay's special teams coverage is up to the task, and the offence can keep the turnovers under control, they'll win this one easily. Packers by 10.

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